ROCHESTER, N.Y. (WROC) — Labor Day is typically the “last hurrah” of summer around here. The state fair wraps up, and the hot summer days become few and far between. The new school year is either beginning or just around the corner, and the leaves hang on to their green color for just a few weeks more.
September is often a month of transition weather wise, so the forecast can be crucial when making plans. If you’re thinking about being outside for the holiday weekend, this forecast page is for you! Just know that getting your outdoor plans in sooner rather than later may benefit you more for this year’s holiday weekend.
High pressure dominates the forecast for Western New York through most of the day. This means dry air, sunshine, and pleasant conditions. The only caveat to this will be the surge of warm air moving in throughout the day from the south. This will provide a warmer feel with highs in the 70s, and an increase in cloud cover ahead of a frontal system later in the day. This will be the best day to guarantee avoiding any raindrops.
Starting Saturday night, an approaching wave of low pressure will bring an increase in cloud cover and increase our chances for rain and showers heading into early Sunday morning. Humidity levels will rise a bit into more uncomfortable levels with dew points climbing back into the 60s Sunday through Monday.
At this point, it looks like the first wave of rain arrive through the overnight into Sunday morning. With the frontal boundary passing through Sunday afternoon it looks like a mostly cloudy day with scattered showers, but there will be some dry time in between. It won’t be the prettiest of days, but we’ll need more high resolution data to come to iron out more of the nitty gritty details.
A second front moves in on Monday providing more clouds, chances for showers and even a few storms. For now we’ll call it warm, humid with an isolated chance for storms during the day. There’s still question as to how much moisture will be associated with this front, but for now the chances for anything widespread are low, so no need to cancel any plans.
Stay tuned to this page for a more detailed breakdown of timing out the rain this weekend.
Heading out to the lake this weekend?
~Meteorologist Christine Gregory