Outside of a few isolated snow showers leftover northeast of Lake Erie, we are done with snow as the lake effect faucet has been shut off. Temperatures are still on the cold side with highs in the lower 30s, keeping snow around on the untreated and grassy surfaces. There could be some partial sun at times that would help melt a bit of snow, but it will likely stick around into Thursday. It’s a bit breezy with gusts near 20 mph.
Wind direction is out of the southwest as prevailing flow is around a big surface high pressure in the Mid-Atlantic. This should help get temperatures into the 40s Thursday afternoon under partial sunshine. Low pressure moving into the Ohio River Valley will extend northeast Thursday night into Friday and we expect precipitation to begin sometime Friday morning. Models are trending toward a cold rain around Rochester, but there is a hint at a wintry mix at higher elevations south that will be colder, near freezing at the surface. Most precipitation is light as the forcing is not strong here.
Another quick moving system along this track will move in Saturday and could bring another round of rain showers. Temperatures should again be in the 30s and lower 40s. Models diverge a bit Sunday as colder air swings in from the north. The GFS moves any moisture north and we are dry Sunday. The Euro brings a better chance for moisture to linger and we could see some minor accumulating snow here and overnight into Monday.
~ News 8 Weather Team