Tracking Tropical Storm Cristobal

Weather Blog

We are taking a trip to the tropics with the latest information regarding Tropical Storm Cristobal, pronounced [krees-TOH-bahl]. For those of you with family or those traveling to parts of the southern US around the coast of Texas and Louisiana, here are some things to know about this storm system. 

According to the National Hurricane Center, the currents of Tropical Storm Cristobal as of around 10 am EDT on Sunday, June 7th 2020 are as follows:

  • Sustained Maximum Winds at 45 knots (~50 mph) 
  • Maximum Central Pressure of 994 millibars
  • Moving north at 10 knots (12 mph)

Cristobal has not strengthened significantly since we last checked in, however this storm is still expected to bring significant impacts to portions of the Gulf coast. This system is expected to make landfall Sunday afternoon with high winds and storm surge already affecting portions of Louisiana.

Quick fact: Landfall is official once the storm’s center crosses or intersects the coastline of the land.

Longwave infrared imagery from Tropical Storm Cristobal courtesy of Tropical Tidbits.

Tropical storm warnings as well as storm surge watches and warnings are in place for several places lining the Gulf coast. Tropical storm force winds are also imminent across the coast as far east as the Florida panhandle with continued heavy rainfall to extend into the Mississippi Valley on Monday. Flash flooding will be an issue especially with localized heavier bands of rainfall for southern Louisiana and Mississippi. Another concerning threat with this system is the tornado threat extending from portions of Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, and into the Florida panhandle. It’s important to keep up to date with local officials on how to keep safe with this storm.

The above photo shows the cone of uncertainty regarding the probable path of Cristobal over the next several days. It’s important to note that effects from the storm system can and will be felt outside of the outlined cone as it does not show the exact size and extent of the storm.

Here are the official names for the 2020 Atlantic Hurricane season. Interestingly enough the first storm of the season Arthur, actually occurred in May prior to the official start of Hurricane season which runs from June 1st through November 30th. 

Could us here in WNY potentially see remnants from this tropical system? Models have been in agreement that remnants of Cristobal will make its way into our region by next week bringing our next significant chances for rain in the forecast. The above photo shows a spaghetti plot of multiple different model outputs of the possible path the storm will take.

Remnants of Cristobal even look to reach as far north as Ontario, Canada by the upcoming week.

~Meteorologist Christine Gregory

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