NEW YORK (PIX11) – The race for New York governor has significantly tightened between Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican Congressman Lee Zeldin, according to a new PIX11 News/Emerson College Polling/The Hill poll released Friday.
Just ahead of the start of early voting, Hochul leads her challenger 50% to 44%, with 4% of those polled still undecided and 2% planning to vote for a third-party candidate.
“Hochul’s been able to essentially hold her support,” explained Camille Mumford, of Emerson College Polling.
“Among independents, they have an 18-point break for Zeldin over Hochul now,” Mumford added.
When undecided voters were asked whom they were leaning toward, the poll found Hochul’s support increased to 52% while Zeldin’s remained at 44%.
In recent weeks, crime has persisted as a heated issue on the gubernatorial campaign trail. However, the PIX11 poll found the top issue for 33% of voters is the economy. Other important issues include threats to democracy (15%) and crime (13%).
On the controversial reform of New York’s bail laws, 57% of poll respondents said they believe bail reform has increased crime; 28% said it’s had no impact on crime; and 16% believe bail reform has decreased crime.
Early voting begins on Saturday, Oct. 29 and runs through Nov. 6. Election Day is Nov. 8.
The Emerson College Polling/PIX11/The Hill New York poll was conducted Oct. 20-24, 2022. The sample consisted of very likely voters, n=1,000, with a Credibility Interval (CI), similar to a poll’s margin of error (MOE) of +/- 3.02 percentage points. The data sets were weighted by gender, age, party registration, education, region, and race/ethnicity based on 2022 turnout modeling. It is important to remember that subsets based on gender, age, education, and race/ethnicity carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. Data was collected using cell phones via SMS-to-web, an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines, and an online panel.