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Weather Week: 2018 Summer Outlook

ROCHESTER, N.Y. (WROC-TV) - The News 8 Weather Team has put together our thoughts on what this summer will have in store for us. 

Looking ahead to what we can expect this summer, one of the usual suspects that meteorologists look at for long term weather patterns are El Nino and La Niña. We are coming out of a La Niña, which is colder than average sea surface temperatures in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, and transitioning into a neutral phase.

This isn't necessarily great for meteorologists, because we have very little to base any sort of long range forecast on, looking down the road several months. So, we will have to look at shorter term variables that only tend to show up within a week or two of the weather occurring.

This is what we are thinking: we think it will be a relatively slow start to summer with no big heat until the second half of the summer, likely July, August and possibly into September with extended late season warmth.

Overall we think we will have slightly warmer than average temperatures with an active weather pattern, meaning many rain chances, but overall average rainfall.

As far as how many 90° days? We are thinking a little higher than average with 10 to 15 days of 90° or warmer.

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