Flu forecast for the upcoming season

Local News

The first few cases of influenza were reported in late September within Monroe County and that number is expected to rise over the next few weeks. Luckily experts say they will not be as bad as last year.  

Dr. David Topham is a professor of microbiology and immunology at the University of Rochester Medical Center and forecasts the upcoming flu season based on one main variable. “We base what we think is going to happen here on what happened in the southern hemisphere,” said Topham. 

So far their season has been mild. “There was relatively little of the H3 virus that caused trouble last year,” said Topham. Locally, that trouble was 15 deaths in Monroe County.  

Last season Pete Massoth got the flu for the first time ever. “I really got it where it took me down for like ten days,” said Massoth. 

He has been getting the shot for over 15 years. “Until this past year it always worked, but it was a combination of how much worse it was this year and everything else.” 

He plans on getting it over the next few weeks. Doctors say more vaccines will mean less influenza and this year Topham expects at least 30% drop in cases of the virus. 

If you are looking to participate in a flu study to improve the flu vaccine, cou can call (585) 273-3990. You will be paid for your time. Also you can click here for more information.

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